FNUS75 KPUB 271009
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...EL PASO COUNTY EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
409 AM MDT WED JUN 27 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...WINDS AS OF 0400 ARE FAIRLY LIGHT NORTHERLY OVER THE
FIRE...WITH SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. STILL EXPECT A SWITCH TO MORE
WESTERLY WINDS AROUND SUNRISE...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
AFTER 0500. WINDS THEN GO AROUND SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING...WITH A
FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA AROUND 1800...WITH A SWITCH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SCATTERED STORMS
INTO THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STORMS...THOUGH BY EVENING STORMS WILL BECOME WETTER AND PRODUCE
AT LEAST SOME POCKETS OF WETTING RAINFALL. FLASH FLOOD THREAT APPEARS
REDUCED AS MOISTURE WILL BE LESS THAN EARLIER THOUGHT...THOUGH WILL
KEEP FLOOD WATCH UP FOR NOW AS IT WILL TAKE VERY LITTLE RAINFALL TO
PRODUCE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WILLIAMS CREEK DRAINAGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(54 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(39 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH-NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 15500 FT AGL AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN WEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSEN
REQUESTED BY...BILL BARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120627.WALDO.01/PUB