FNUS75 KRIW 280944
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEX CREEK...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
344 AM MDT THU JUN 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2132 MDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE WARMER...AND AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LOWER TODAY...THAN WHAT
OCCURRED YESTERDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN THIS
MORNING...BECOMING BREEZY FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE WINDS COULD REMAIN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
INTO THE AFTERNOON DUE TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS BEING BLOCKED
BY THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE FIRE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH BETWEEN NOON AND 2 PM.
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (156900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-8 MPH BY 8 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL
                    BY 9 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (162100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (42000 KNOT-FT) BY 9 PM.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH BECOMING WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH BETWEEN NOON AND 2 PM.
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (52700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (162400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...CREAGEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120627.INDEX.02/RIW