FNUS75 KRIW 280258
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR OTTER CREEK...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
858 PM MDT WED JUN 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1939 MDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AND WARM WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER
THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND AROUND 5 DEGREES
WARMER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY SLIGHTLY LOWER ON THURSDAY WITH WINDS A
BIT STRONGER THAN ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH
ACROSS THE FIRE THURSDAY EVENING. A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE
NORTH NORTHWEST IS LIKELY WITH THE FRONT. WINDS WILL TREND LIGHTER
ON FRIDAY...SIMILAR THE WIND FIELD ON TODAY (WEDNESDAY).

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-51 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST OR
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH THIS EVENING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5
                    TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AROUND NOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (143500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 2000L...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    ...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (90900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (3000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH...BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500-9500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING WEST 13 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (42600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (106900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...O BRIEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120627.OTTER.02/RIW