FNUS75 KBOU 281805 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS TRAINING...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1205 PM MDT THU JUN 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FORM OVER ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK BETWEEN 12:15 AND 1:30 PM THIS AFTERNOON. AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE...MORE STORMS WILL LIKELY FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING THE RESCUE SITE...WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY PASSING OVER THE RESCUE SITE BETWEEN 1:30 AND 5:30 PM. STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND DANGEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING ARE TO BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SMALL HAIL MAY ALSO FALL. THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FRONT RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OVER THE HIGH PLAINS... WITH GRADUAL CLEARING OVER THE RESCUE SITE DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1230...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 1230 TO 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL AND OUTFLOW GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S WITH RAIN SHOWERS. MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12200-13200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1230...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2030. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54. MAX HUMIDITY........46-51%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING AND TOWARDS MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14-22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWSTRAINING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/28-11 48 4 1 74 27 W10 17 5 1 W14 10172 W14 125269 V 06/28-12 64 25 5 76 25 W10 16 5 3 W14 12405 W14 151370 E 06/28-13 64 25 5 77 23 W10 16 5 3 W16 12765 W16 174820 E 06/28-14 71 35 13 78 22 SW 9 15 4 4 SW18 13125 SW17 198271 E 06/28-15 71 35 13 79 22 SW 9 15 4 4 SW21 13484 SW18 221721 E 06/28-16 71 35 13 79 21 SW10 16 4 4 W23 12899 W20 213407 E 06/28-17 71 35 13 79 21 W10 17 4 4 W23 12313 W20 205092 E 06/28-18 54 18 4 77 22 W12 18 4 3 W23 11727 W20 196778 E 06/28-19 54 18 4 75 23 W12 17 4 3 W23 9686 W20 162741 E 06/28-20 54 18 4 70 27 W10 16 3 3 W23 7645 W20 128704 V 06/28-21 47 10 2 65 31 W 9 15 3 2 W22 5603 W20 94667 G 06/28-22 47 10 2 62 34 W 9 14 3 2 W21 3975 W18 66451 G 06/28-23 47 10 2 60 36 W 9 14 4 2 W20 2347 W17 38235 P 06/29-00 31 3 1 58 38 W 9 15 4 1 W18 718 W16 10019 P 06/29-01 31 3 1 56 40 W 9 15 4 1 W17 550 W15 7381 P 06/29-02 31 3 1 54 42 W10 16 4 1 W16 382 W13 4743 P 06/29-03 21 3 1 53 45 W10 16 4 1 W16 214 W12 2106 P 06/29-04 21 3 1 52 46 W12 17 4 1 W17 209 W12 2090 P 06/29-05 21 3 1 51 46 W12 18 4 1 W18 204 W12 2075 P 06/29-06 30 3 1 52 45 W12 18 4 1 W21 199 W12 2059 P 06/29-07 30 3 1 54 41 W10 17 4 1 W22 2029 W14 28164 P 06/29-08 30 3 1 59 33 W 9 15 3 1 W24 3858 W15 54269 F 06/29-09 30 3 1 65 27 W 8 13 3 1 W24 5688 W16 80374 G 06/29-10 30 3 1 69 23 W 8 13 4 1 W23 7603 W15 93447 G 06/29-11 30 3 1 73 20 W 9 14 4 1 W21 9518 W14 106520 V 06/29-12 42 4 1 75 19 W 9 15 5 1 W20 11433 W12 119594 V 06/29-13 42 4 1 77 18 W 8 14 5 1 W18 12199 W12 127750 V 06/29-14 42 4 1 78 17 W 8 13 5 1 W18 12965 W12 135906 V 06/29-15 42 10 2 78 17 W 7 7 5 2 W18 13731 W12 144062 V 06/29-16 42 10 2 79 17 W 7 7 5 2 W18 12204 W12 122748 V 06/29-17 42 10 2 78 17 W 7 7 5 2 W18 10678 W10 101434 V 06/29-18 38 10 2 76 19 W 7 7 5 2 W18 9151 W10 80120 G 06/29-19 38 10 2 74 20 W 7 7 3 2 W18 7368 W 9 62537 G 06/29-20 38 10 2 70 24 W 8 8 2 2 W17 5585 W 9 44955 F 06/29-21 38 10 2 65 29 W 8 13 2 2 W16 3802 W 8 27373 P 06/29-22 38 10 2 60 35 W 8 14 5 2 W14 1845 W 9 13509 P 06/29-23 38 10 2 58 39 W 9 15 5 2 W14 1022 W 9 7585 P 06/30-00 43 0 0 56 41 W 9 15 5 1 W14 199 W 9 1660 P 06/30-01 43 0 0 56 41 W 9 14 5 1 W14 193 W 9 1580 P 06/30-02 43 0 0 55 42 W 8 14 5 1 W15 188 W 9 1500 P 06/30-03 43 0 0 55 41 W 8 13 4 1 W16 182 W 9 1420 P 06/30-04 43 0 0 54 42 W 8 14 4 1 W17 174 W 9 1406 P 06/30-05 43 0 0 52 42 W 9 14 4 1 W18 166 W 9 1391 P 06/30-06 22 0 0 52 42 W 9 15 4 1 W18 158 W10 1376 P 06/30-07 22 0 0 57 34 W 9 14 4 1 W17 2026 W10 20039 P 06/30-08 22 0 0 63 26 W 8 13 4 1 W16 3894 W12 38701 P 06/30-09 22 0 0 69 21 W 7 7 4 1 W15 5762 W12 57363 F 06/30-10 22 0 0 72 18 W 6 6 5 1 W14 8410 W10 69467 G 06/30-11 22 0 0 75 16 SW 6 6 5 1 W13 11059 W 9 81570 G 06/30-12 31 10 2 77 15 SW 5 5 5 2 W13 13707 W 8 93674 G 06/30-13 31 10 2 80 14 SW 3 3 5 2 W13 14366 W 8 93594 G 06/30-14 31 10 2 80 14 SE 3 3 5 2 W13 15025 W 7 93515 G 06/30-15 31 10 2 81 14 SE 3 3 5 2 W13 15684 W 7 93436 G 06/30-16 31 10 2 80 15 SE 5 5 5 2 W13 13562 SW 7 76660 G 06/30-17 31 10 2 78 17 SE 6 6 5 2 W12 11439 SW 6 59883 F 06/30-18 39 7 1 76 18 SE 7 7 5 1 W10 9316 S 6 43107 F 06/30-19 39 7 1 75 19 SE 6 6 5 1 W10 7139 S 6 33884 P 06/30-20 39 7 1 71 22 SE 3 3 5 1 SW 9 4961 S 6 24660 P 06/30-21 39 7 1 65 27 CALM 1 4 1 SW10 2784 SE 7 15437 P 06/30-22 39 7 1 60 32 CALM 1 4 1 SW13 1930 SE 6 10599 P 06/30-23 39 7 1 58 35 CALM 1 4 1 SW15 1077 SE 6 5761 P 07/01-00 34 0 0 57 37 SE 2 2 4 1 SW17 223 E 5 923 P 07/01-01 34 0 0 56 38 S 2 2 4 1 SW17 222 SE 5 809 P 07/01-02 34 0 0 55 40 S 3 3 4 1 SW17 220 SE 3 695 P 07/01-03 34 0 0 55 40 S 3 3 4 1 SW16 219 S 3 581 P 07/01-04 34 0 0 54 43 S 3 3 5 1 SW15 192 S 3 553 P 07/01-05 34 0 0 52 45 SW 3 3 5 1 SW14 165 S 3 524 P 07/01-06 27 2 0 52 46 SW 3 3 5 1 SW13 139 SW 5 496 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120628.UPPER.01/BOU