FNUS75 KGJT 291057
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EBY CREEK FIRE...EAGLE COUNTY EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
457 AM MDT FRI JUN 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2307 MDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR WILL GRADUALLY WORK INTO THE AREA AS THE
FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. THEREFORE...OTHER THAN AN ISOLATED
AFTERNOON STORM OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TODAY. THE WESTERLY FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE LIGHT
SIDE...BUT DAYTIME HEATING AND DEEP MIXING WILL ALLOW A FEW
STRONGER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE DRYING TREND WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
UNSEASONABLY HOT.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
    HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH AND EAST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN
    BECOMING UPSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH BY 1000...
    INCREASING AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15
    MPH BY 1200 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-13900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 18 MPH BY 1200.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (300-1100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN
    BECOMING UPSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH BY 1000...
    INCREASING AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH
    BY 1200 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-7100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 18000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...BARRY SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120628.EBYCR.01/GJT