FNUS73 KLSX 281825
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST END...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
125 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1255 CDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA DUE TO DRY FUELS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND VERY
LIKELY INTO NEXT WEEK.  WHILE FUELS WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY AND WILL
BURN EASILY...THE SEVERITY OF THE FIRE DANGER WILL DEPEND GREATLY ON
THE WIND EACH DAY.  CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE WIND WILL STAY
AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH EACH DAY.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 108.
RH..................MIN 10 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND 1 TO 2 MPH USING A WIND ADJUSTMENT FACTOR
                    OF 0.2
WIND...20 FT........WEST WIND AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH DURING MID AND LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7070 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND 1 MPH USING A WIND ADJUSTMENT FACTOR
                    OF 0.2
WIND...20 FT........WEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 104.
RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 2 MPH USING A WIND ADJUSTMENT
                    FACTOR OF 0.2
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9505 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120628.EASTE.01/LSX