FNUS75 KBOU 291207 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRINGER FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 600 AM MDT FRI JUN 29 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER AND DRIER WITH LIGHTER WINDS ALOFT. ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AND THEY WILL BE WEAKER. THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH BUT THE PROBABILITY IS LOWER TODAY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME DRY LIGHTNING ALTHOUGH MOST OF TODAYS STORMS WILL PRODUCE A LITTLE RAIN. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM AND DRY WITH LOW HUMIDITIES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...THOUGH WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-85. MIN HUMIDITY........15-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH INCREASING TO 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 11000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-53. MAX HUMIDITY........44-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-7 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL BY 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-85. MIN HUMIDITY........13-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 12000 FT AGL BY 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SPRINGER FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/29-05 16 4 1 52 61 W 6 6 2 1 NW 8 238 W 6 1200 P 06/29-06 16 0 0 52 61 W 6 6 5 1 NW 7 197 W 7 1122 P 06/29-07 16 0 0 57 49 W 6 6 6 1 NW 7 2293 W 7 14902 P 06/29-08 16 0 0 63 37 W 5 5 6 1 NW 7 4388 W 7 28683 P 06/29-09 9 0 0 69 28 W 5 5 5 1 NW 7 6484 W 8 42463 F 06/29-10 9 0 0 74 23 W 5 5 5 1 W 6 8858 W 7 52417 F 06/29-11 9 0 0 77 20 W 6 6 5 1 W 6 11233 W 7 62370 G 06/29-12 44 8 2 79 18 NW 6 6 5 1 W 7 13608 W 6 72324 G 06/29-13 44 8 2 81 17 W 6 6 5 1 W 9 13804 W 8 90976 G 06/29-14 44 8 2 81 17 W 5 5 5 1 W13 14000 W 9 109627 V 06/29-15 48 10 2 81 17 W 3 3 5 2 W16 14197 W10 128279 V 06/29-16 48 10 2 80 16 W 5 5 5 2 W20 13327 W12 127103 V 06/29-17 48 10 2 79 16 NW 6 6 5 2 W24 12458 W12 125928 V 06/29-18 45 14 3 77 17 NW 6 6 5 1 W26 11588 W13 124753 V 06/29-19 45 14 3 74 20 NW 5 5 5 1 W26 7876 NW 9 83516 G 06/29-20 45 14 3 68 26 N 2 2 5 1 W25 4165 N 6 42280 F 06/29-21 45 14 3 64 32 CALM 1 5 1 W24 453 N 2 1043 P 06/29-22 43 9 2 61 38 N 2 2 5 1 W23 380 N 3 971 P 06/29-23 43 9 2 59 42 NW 3 3 5 1 W23 307 W 3 898 P 06/30-00 43 9 2 57 45 W 5 5 5 1 W22 234 W 5 826 P 06/30-01 43 9 2 56 47 W 6 6 5 1 W22 226 W 5 870 P 06/30-02 25 0 0 55 47 W 6 6 5 1 W21 219 W 5 914 P 06/30-03 25 0 0 54 47 W 6 6 5 1 W20 211 W 6 958 P 06/30-04 25 0 0 53 46 W 6 6 4 1 W20 217 W 6 979 P 06/30-05 25 0 0 53 46 W 6 6 4 1 NW18 224 W 5 1000 P 06/30-06 21 0 0 53 43 W 6 6 3 1 NW18 230 W 5 1021 P 06/30-07 21 0 0 56 36 W 6 6 3 1 W17 1696 W 5 7468 P 06/30-08 21 0 0 63 27 W 5 5 3 1 W16 3162 W 5 13914 P 06/30-09 21 0 0 67 22 W 3 3 3 1 W15 4627 W 5 20361 P 06/30-10 21 0 0 72 18 W 5 5 5 1 W 8 6789 W 6 34777 P 06/30-11 21 0 0 76 16 W 5 5 5 1 W 6 11384 W 6 57811 F 06/30-12 51 20 4 78 14 W 6 6 5 3 W 5 15980 W 6 80844 G 06/30-13 51 20 4 79 14 W 6 6 5 3 W 3 15947 W 6 74171 G 06/30-14 51 20 4 81 14 SW 5 5 6 3 SW 3 15914 SW 5 67498 G 06/30-15 51 20 4 81 14 SW 3 3 6 3 SW 5 15881 SW 5 60824 G 06/30-16 51 20 4 81 15 S 3 3 6 3 SW 5 15315 SW 3 50509 F 06/30-17 51 20 4 81 16 E 3 3 6 3 SW 5 14749 SW 3 40194 F 06/30-18 47 20 4 79 18 E 3 3 6 3 SW 6 14183 SW 2 29879 P 06/30-19 47 20 4 77 20 NE 3 3 6 3 SW 5 9616 S 2 20258 P 06/30-20 47 20 4 73 24 NE 2 2 5 3 SW 5 5048 E 2 10638 P 06/30-21 47 20 4 68 29 NE 2 2 5 3 SW 5 481 E 2 1017 P 06/30-22 47 20 4 64 33 N 2 2 5 3 W 6 380 NE 2 749 P 06/30-23 47 20 4 63 36 N 2 2 5 3 W 7 279 CALM 480 P 07/01-00 21 0 0 60 40 NW 2 2 5 1 W 7 178 CALM 211 P 07/01-01 21 0 0 59 43 NW 3 3 5 1 W 8 167 N 2 304 P 07/01-02 21 0 0 57 46 NW 3 3 5 1 W 8 156 NW 3 397 P 07/01-03 21 0 0 55 49 W 5 5 5 1 W 8 145 W 3 490 P 07/01-04 21 0 0 54 51 W 6 6 5 1 W 7 150 W 5 562 P 07/01-05 21 0 0 54 50 W 6 6 5 1 W 6 155 W 5 635 P 07/01-06 29 0 0 54 48 W 6 6 5 1 W 5 160 W 5 707 P 07/01-07 29 0 0 57 42 W 5 5 5 1 W 3 679 W 6 3586 P 07/01-08 29 0 0 62 33 W 5 5 5 1 W 3 1199 SW 6 6465 P 07/01-09 29 0 0 67 25 W 3 3 5 1 W 2 1718 SW 6 9345 P 07/01-10 29 0 0 72 21 SW 3 3 5 1 SW 3 5726 SW 6 28294 P 07/01-11 29 0 0 76 18 SW 5 5 6 1 SW 6 9733 SW 6 47244 F 07/01-12 53 20 4 78 16 SW 5 5 6 3 SW 7 13741 SW 6 66194 G 07/01-13 53 20 4 79 15 SW 6 6 6 3 SW 7 13972 SW 6 69132 G 07/01-14 53 20 4 80 15 SW 6 6 6 3 SW 7 14204 SW 6 72070 G 07/01-15 53 20 4 81 15 S 6 6 6 3 SW 7 14435 SW 6 75009 G 07/01-16 53 20 4 81 15 S 5 5 6 3 SW 6 13816 SW 6 64008 G 07/01-17 53 20 4 80 16 SE 3 3 6 3 SW 6 13197 SW 5 53007 F 07/01-18 47 0 0 79 18 E 2 2 6 1 SW 7 12578 SW 3 42007 F 07/01-19 47 0 0 77 20 SE 2 2 6 1 SW 8 8496 S 5 28430 P 07/01-20 47 0 0 72 24 SE 3 3 5 1 W 9 4414 SE 5 14852 P 07/01-21 47 0 0 67 29 SE 3 3 5 1 W12 333 SE 5 1275 P 07/01-22 47 0 0 64 33 SE 3 3 5 1 W12 285 SE 5 1093 P 07/01-23 47 0 0 62 36 SW 3 3 5 1 W12 237 S 5 911 P 07/02-00 39 8 2 60 40 SW 3 3 5 1 W12 190 SW 5 730 P 07/02-01 39 8 2 59 43 SW 3 3 5 1 W13 177 SW 5 685 P 07/02-02 39 8 2 57 46 W 5 5 5 1 W13 164 W 5 640 P 07/02-03 39 8 2 55 49 W 5 5 5 1 W13 150 W 5 595 P 07/02-04 39 8 2 54 51 W 6 6 5 1 W12 152 W 6 693 P 07/02-05 39 8 2 54 51 W 6 6 5 1 W12 154 W 6 792 P 07/02-06 30 4 1 54 50 W 6 6 5 1 NW10 156 W 7 890 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...JARROD SAYER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120629.SPRIN.01/BOU