FNUS75 KBOU 300245 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRINGER FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 844 PM MDT FRI JUN 29 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE STILL COULD BE AN ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM UNTIL 2400 OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY. MAX HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT WILL BE AROUND 45%. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OVERNIGHT. ON SATURDAY THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 WITH MIN HUMIDITY OF 10-15%. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52. MAX HUMIDITY........46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 16200-17200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53. MAX HUMIDITY........51%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......15400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 13600-14600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SPRINGER FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/29-20 52 14 3 74 21 NE 6 6 3 1 W12 6211 NE 7 29171 P 06/29-21 52 14 3 69 28 NE 6 6 3 1 NW15 1807 NE 7 11158 P 06/29-22 48 14 2 65 33 NE 6 6 3 1 NW16 1277 NE 6 7716 P 06/29-23 48 14 2 63 36 N 6 6 3 1 NW17 748 N 6 4274 P 06/30-00 48 9 2 61 40 N 6 6 3 1 NW17 218 N 5 832 P 06/30-01 48 9 2 59 43 NW 6 6 3 1 NW16 199 NW 5 845 P 06/30-02 31 0 0 57 44 W 6 6 3 1 NW15 180 W 6 858 P 06/30-03 31 0 0 55 46 W 6 6 3 1 NW15 162 W 6 871 P 06/30-04 31 0 0 54 46 W 6 6 3 1 NW15 165 W 6 904 P 06/30-05 31 0 0 54 44 NW 6 6 4 1 NW15 169 W 7 937 P 06/30-06 5 0 0 54 42 NW 6 6 4 1 NW16 172 NW 7 970 P 06/30-07 5 0 0 57 36 NW 6 6 4 1 NW15 1427 NW 7 9108 P 06/30-08 5 0 0 62 28 NW 5 5 4 1 NW14 2681 NW 7 17246 P 06/30-09 5 0 0 68 22 NW 5 5 4 1 NW13 3936 NW 7 25383 P 06/30-10 5 0 0 73 17 N 5 5 4 1 NW12 8203 NW 7 49838 F 06/30-11 5 0 0 77 15 N 5 5 3 1 NW10 12471 W 7 74293 G 06/30-12 51 20 4 80 14 N 5 5 3 3 NW 9 16739 W 7 98748 G 06/30-13 51 20 4 81 13 N 5 5 3 3 W 7 16896 W 6 83473 G 06/30-14 51 20 4 82 13 NE 5 5 4 3 SW 5 17054 W 5 68197 G 06/30-15 51 20 4 83 13 NE 5 5 4 3 SW 3 17211 W 3 52922 F 06/30-16 51 20 4 83 14 NE 5 5 4 3 SW 2 16582 W 2 41986 F 06/30-17 51 20 4 83 15 NE 3 3 3 3 SW 2 15953 W 2 31051 P 06/30-18 46 20 4 81 17 E 3 3 3 3 SW 2 15324 CALM 20115 P 06/30-19 46 20 4 79 19 NE 3 3 3 3 SW 2 10366 NW 2 13868 P 06/30-20 46 20 4 74 23 NE 2 2 3 3 W 2 5409 NE 2 7621 P 06/30-21 46 20 4 69 28 NE 2 2 3 3 W 2 452 E 3 1373 P 06/30-22 46 20 4 65 32 NE 2 2 3 3 W 2 360 E 2 993 P 06/30-23 46 20 4 63 35 N 2 2 3 3 W 2 267 NE 2 613 P 07/01-00 34 0 0 61 39 N 2 2 3 1 W 3 175 CALM 232 P 07/01-01 34 0 0 59 42 N 2 2 3 1 W 6 161 N 2 276 P 07/01-02 34 0 0 57 46 NW 3 3 3 1 W 7 147 NW 2 319 P 07/01-03 27 0 0 56 49 W 3 3 3 1 W 8 133 W 3 362 P 07/01-04 27 0 0 54 51 W 5 5 3 1 W 7 138 W 3 480 P 07/01-05 27 0 0 54 50 W 5 5 3 1 W 6 144 W 5 598 P 07/01-06 28 0 0 54 48 W 6 6 3 1 W 5 149 W 6 716 P 07/01-07 28 0 0 57 41 W 7 7 3 1 SW 3 540 W 6 2322 P 07/01-08 28 0 0 62 33 W 7 7 3 1 SW 3 932 W 5 3928 P 07/01-09 28 0 0 67 25 SW 7 7 3 1 S 3 1323 SW 5 5534 P 07/01-10 28 0 0 72 21 SW 6 6 3 1 S 5 5387 SW 5 25832 P 07/01-11 28 0 0 76 18 S 6 6 3 1 S 5 9451 S 6 46131 F 07/01-12 52 20 4 78 16 S 5 5 3 3 S 6 13516 S 6 66430 G 07/01-13 52 20 4 79 15 S 5 5 3 3 S 7 13867 S 6 72228 G 07/01-14 52 20 4 80 15 SE 6 6 3 3 S 8 14218 S 6 78026 G 07/01-15 52 20 4 81 15 SE 7 7 3 3 S 8 14570 S 7 83824 G 07/01-16 52 20 4 81 15 SE 8 8 3 3 S 8 14036 S 7 85795 G 07/01-17 52 20 4 80 16 SE 8 13 3 3 S 8 13503 S 8 87765 G 07/01-18 47 0 0 79 18 SE 8 13 3 1 S 9 12970 S 8 89736 G 07/01-19 47 0 0 77 20 SE 8 8 3 1 SW 9 8946 S 9 62820 G 07/01-20 47 0 0 72 24 S 7 7 3 1 W10 4923 S10 35904 P 07/01-21 47 0 0 67 29 S 6 6 3 1 W12 899 SE12 8988 P 07/01-22 47 0 0 64 33 S 5 5 3 1 W10 696 S10 6634 P 07/01-23 47 0 0 62 36 S 5 5 3 1 NW10 493 S 9 4281 P 07/02-00 38 8 2 60 40 S 5 5 3 1 NW 9 290 S 8 1927 P 07/02-01 38 8 2 59 43 SW 5 5 4 1 NW 8 255 SW 7 1644 P 07/02-02 38 8 2 57 46 W 6 6 4 1 NW 7 219 W 7 1361 P 07/02-03 38 8 2 55 49 W 6 6 4 1 NW 6 183 W 7 1078 P 07/02-04 38 8 2 54 51 W 6 6 4 1 NW 6 181 W 7 1106 P 07/02-05 38 8 2 54 51 W 6 6 4 1 NW 5 179 W 7 1133 P 07/02-06 30 4 1 54 50 W 6 6 4 1 NW 5 178 W 8 1161 P 07/02-07 30 4 1 57 43 W 6 6 4 1 NW 5 419 W 7 2621 P 07/02-08 30 4 1 62 33 W 6 6 4 1 N 3 661 NW 7 4081 P 07/02-09 30 4 1 68 25 W 6 6 4 1 N 2 902 NW 7 5541 P 07/02-10 30 4 1 72 20 NW 6 6 4 1 CALM 4734 NW 6 14067 P 07/02-11 30 4 1 76 17 N 6 6 3 1 CALM 8565 NE 5 22592 P 07/02-12 52 20 4 78 16 NE 6 6 3 3 CALM 12396 NE 3 31118 P 07/02-13 52 20 4 80 15 NE 7 7 3 3 S 2 12884 E 3 35382 P 07/02-14 52 20 4 81 15 E 7 7 3 3 SE 3 13372 E 3 39647 P 07/02-15 52 20 4 81 15 E 7 7 3 3 SE 5 13859 SE 3 43911 F 07/02-16 52 20 4 81 16 E 6 6 3 3 SE 6 13517 SE 5 53538 F 07/02-17 52 20 4 81 18 E 3 3 3 3 SE 6 13174 E 6 63164 G 07/02-18 64 18 4 79 20 E 2 2 3 3 SE 7 12831 E 7 72790 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JARROD SAYER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120629.SPRIN.02/BOU