FNUS75 KMSO 292324
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR TRAP 2 IAP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
524 PM MDT FRI JUN 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1703 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THE REGION CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER WARM
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT A THERMAL
LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA CAUSING EASTERLY WINDS TO
DEVELOP NEAR YOUR FIRE EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BY LATE AFTERNOON
(AROUND 00Z) THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD ALLOW FOR
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO MIX TO THE SURFACE. THESE SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO LINGER THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
DECREASING AND BECOMING VARIABLE. EVEN THOUGH THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
BE QUITE UNSTABLE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO ONLY EXPECTING
CUMULUS BUILD UP DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM 88-93...TOP 84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM 5-10 PERCENT...TOP 9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM 45-50...TOP 51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........BOTTOM 50-55 PERCENT...TOP 30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 4-8 MPH DURING THE LATE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.


$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...MICHEAL DARDIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120629.BEART.02/MSO