FNUS75 KBOU 302323 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH PARK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 316 PM MDT SAT JUN 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE WITH LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TOMORROW. ISOLATED HIGH BASED STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL MAINLY PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OF 30-40 MPH WITH UP TO 50 MPH WITH THE STRONG STORMS. OVERALL... SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ON SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS CAN AGAIN BE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-65. MAX HUMIDITY........32-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN NORTH TO NORTHEAST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2400 THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-89 . MIN HUMIDITY........11-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 5000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 10000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 15600-16600 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 11800-12800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-61. MAX HUMIDITY........34-38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86. MIN HUMIDITY........15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 13200-14200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HIGH PARK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/30-15 61 17 3 84 18 CALM 0 5 3 W20 15474 W12 161638 E 06/30-16 61 17 3 84 17 NE 2 2 5 3 W18 14499 W10 135399 V 06/30-17 61 17 3 82 18 NE 5 5 5 3 W17 13525 W 9 109160 V 06/30-18 38 17 3 81 18 NE 7 7 5 3 W16 12550 W 8 82920 G 06/30-19 38 17 3 80 19 NE 8 13 5 3 W14 8939 NW 8 59317 F 06/30-20 38 17 3 78 21 NE 8 8 5 3 W12 5328 N 8 35714 P 06/30-21 38 17 3 74 24 NE 7 7 5 3 W10 1717 NE 8 12110 P 06/30-22 38 17 3 71 28 NE 6 6 5 3 W 9 1236 NE 7 8537 P 06/30-23 38 17 3 68 32 NE 3 3 4 3 SW 9 755 NE 7 4964 P 07/01-00 22 0 0 66 35 NE 2 2 4 1 SW 9 274 NE 6 1391 P 07/01-01 22 0 0 65 37 N 2 2 4 1 SW10 260 NE 5 1072 P 07/01-02 22 0 0 64 38 NW 2 2 5 1 SW13 245 N 3 752 P 07/01-03 22 0 0 64 38 NW 2 2 5 1 W14 230 NW 2 433 P 07/01-04 22 0 0 63 38 W 3 3 5 1 W13 210 NW 2 498 P 07/01-05 22 0 0 63 37 W 5 5 5 1 W12 191 W 3 564 P 07/01-06 18 0 0 62 37 W 5 5 5 1 W10 171 W 5 629 P 07/01-07 18 0 0 65 35 SW 2 2 5 1 SW 8 5049 W 5 16254 P 07/01-08 18 0 0 73 28 CALM 1 5 1 SW 6 9927 W 3 31878 P 07/01-09 18 0 0 81 22 CALM 0 5 1 SW 5 14805 SW 3 47502 F 07/01-10 18 0 0 84 19 S 2 2 5 1 SW 5 15612 SW 5 59353 F 07/01-11 18 0 0 85 17 SE 6 6 6 1 SW 6 16420 SW 5 71204 G 07/01-12 53 10 2 86 15 E 9 15 6 2 SW 7 17228 SW 6 83055 G 07/01-13 53 10 2 83 16 SE10 16 6 2 SW 9 16579 SW 6 89871 G 07/01-14 53 10 2 85 15 SE10 16 6 2 W12 15930 SW 7 96687 G 07/01-15 53 15 3 85 15 SE10 16 6 3 W13 15282 SW 8 103503 V 07/01-16 53 15 3 85 15 SE12 18 6 3 W14 13252 SW 8 94133 G 07/01-17 53 15 3 83 16 SE12 18 6 3 W13 11222 S 9 84763 G 07/01-18 47 10 2 83 16 SE12 18 6 2 SW13 9366 S 9 74119 G 07/01-19 47 10 2 80 18 SE 8 13 6 2 W12 6335 S 8 49915 F 07/01-20 47 10 2 76 22 S 5 5 6 2 W12 3304 S 7 25711 P 07/01-21 47 10 2 71 27 S 3 3 6 2 W10 272 S 7 1507 P 07/01-22 47 10 2 68 31 SW 5 5 6 2 W 9 237 SW 7 1434 P 07/01-23 47 10 2 66 34 W 6 6 6 2 W 8 202 W 8 1360 P 07/02-00 38 0 0 64 37 W 8 13 6 1 W 8 167 W 9 1287 P 07/02-01 38 0 0 62 40 W 9 14 6 1 W 9 154 W 9 1227 P 07/02-02 38 0 0 60 42 W 9 15 6 1 SW10 142 W 9 1168 P 07/02-03 38 0 0 58 44 W 9 15 6 1 SW12 130 W10 1109 P 07/02-04 38 0 0 57 45 W10 16 6 1 SW13 130 W10 1154 P 07/02-05 38 0 0 57 44 W10 17 5 1 W13 131 W10 1200 P 07/02-06 38 0 0 57 43 W10 16 5 1 W13 131 W10 1245 P 07/02-07 38 0 0 60 38 W 8 13 5 1 W12 832 W 9 4210 P 07/02-08 38 0 0 65 30 W 6 6 5 1 W10 1532 W 7 7174 P 07/02-09 38 0 0 71 24 W 3 3 5 1 W 9 2233 W 6 10139 P 07/02-10 38 0 0 75 20 SW 3 3 5 1 W10 5863 W 6 27201 P 07/02-11 38 0 0 79 18 SE 6 6 5 1 W12 9492 W 6 44264 F 07/02-12 68 20 4 81 16 E 7 7 5 3 W13 13122 W 6 61326 G 07/02-13 68 20 4 83 16 E 8 13 5 3 W13 13452 W 6 63782 G 07/02-14 68 20 4 84 15 E 9 14 5 3 W12 13782 SW 6 66238 G 07/02-15 68 20 4 84 15 E 9 15 5 3 SW12 14111 SW 6 68693 G 07/02-16 68 20 4 85 16 E 9 14 5 3 W13 13766 SW 6 73200 G 07/02-17 68 20 4 84 17 E 8 13 4 3 W14 13422 SW 7 77706 G 07/02-18 66 20 4 82 19 E 7 7 4 3 W15 13077 SW 7 82212 G 07/02-19 66 20 4 80 21 SE 6 6 4 3 W14 8961 SW 7 56237 F 07/02-20 66 20 4 76 24 SE 5 5 4 3 SW13 4845 S 7 30263 P 07/02-21 66 20 4 71 28 S 3 3 4 3 SW12 730 SE 7 4288 P 07/02-22 66 20 4 68 31 S 3 3 4 3 SW13 560 SE 6 3175 P 07/02-23 66 20 4 66 34 SW 3 3 4 3 SW15 390 S 6 2062 P 07/03-00 40 0 0 64 36 SW 5 5 4 1 SW17 220 S 5 949 P 07/03-01 40 0 0 63 39 SW 6 6 4 1 SW18 200 S 6 917 P 07/03-02 40 0 0 61 42 W 6 6 5 1 W18 181 SW 6 886 P 07/03-03 40 0 0 59 45 W 7 7 5 1 W18 161 SW 6 854 P 07/03-04 40 0 0 58 47 W 8 13 5 1 W17 149 SW 7 851 P 07/03-05 40 0 0 58 47 W 9 14 5 1 W15 137 W 7 847 P 07/03-06 38 5 1 58 46 W 9 15 5 1 W14 125 W 8 844 P 07/03-07 38 5 1 61 41 W 9 14 5 1 SW12 313 W 7 1436 P 07/03-08 38 5 1 66 33 SW 8 13 5 1 SW10 501 W 6 2028 P 07/03-09 38 5 1 71 27 S 7 7 5 1 SW10 690 SW 5 2620 P 07/03-10 38 5 1 76 23 S 6 6 5 1 SW10 4884 SW 6 36337 P 07/03-11 38 5 1 80 20 SE 5 5 5 1 SW12 9079 W 7 70053 G 07/03-12 55 20 4 82 19 SE 3 3 5 3 W13 13273 W 9 103770 V 07/03-13 55 20 4 83 18 SE 3 3 5 3 W14 13723 W 9 111579 V 07/03-14 55 20 4 84 17 SE 5 5 5 3 W16 14172 W 9 119388 V 07/03-15 55 20 4 85 17 SE 5 5 5 3 W16 14622 W10 127196 V 07/03-16 55 20 4 85 17 SE 5 5 5 3 W16 14311 W 9 119276 V 07/03-17 55 20 4 84 17 SE 5 5 5 3 W16 14000 W 9 111355 V 07/03-18 52 16 3 83 18 SE 5 5 5 3 W15 13689 W 9 103435 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PAUL KAISER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120630.HIGHP.01/BOU