FNUS73 KLSX 301201
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST END...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
701 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0632 CDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY AND SUNDAY...PARTICULARLY
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.  FORECAST
10 HOUR DRY FUEL VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PERCENT.  THE VERY DRY
VEGETATION COMBINED WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25
PERCENT...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 12 MPH AND HAINES
INDEX VALUES OF 6 WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO WILDFIRE GROWTH.

THE ONLY CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL BE OVER NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS TODAY AND TONIGHT ALONG A WEAK
STATIONARY FRONT.

THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.  FUELS
WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT CLIMB
MUCH AS LONG AS THE DROUGHT PERSISTS.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW 10 MPH THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT REQUEST...MAX 103.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS WEST AT 1 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT
                    OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 2 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AT
                    IGNITION...7600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 14 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (14423 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 74.
RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT
                    OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 102.
RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 2
                    TO 3 MPH FROM MID MORNING UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT
                    OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH FROM MID MORNING UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (13087 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120630.EASTE.01/LSX