FNUS73 KLSX 302134
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST END...USFS MO_MTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
434 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1624 CDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY...PARTICULARLY OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.  FORECAST
10 HOUR DRY FUEL VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PERCENT.  THE VERY
DRY VEGETATION COMBINED WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW
25 PERCENT...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 12 MPH AND HAINES
INDEX VALUES OF 6 WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO WILDFIRE GROWTH.

THE ONLY CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL BE OVER NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW ALONG A
WEAK STATIONARY FRONT.

THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.  FUELS
WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT CLIMB
MUCH AS LONG AS THE DROUGHT PERSISTS.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW 10 MPH THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 71.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 2 MPH USING THE WIND FACTOR
                    ADJUSTMENT OF 0.3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT FROM MID EVENING THROUGH
                    THE OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 102.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 2 MPH USING THE WIND FACTOR
                    ADJUSTMENT OF 0.3
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (19655 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120630.EASTE.02/LSX