FNUS74 KMAF 010205
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE CANYON...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
905 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1934 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROPICAL LOW MOVING UP ALONG THE RIO GRANDE WILL RESULT IN A
WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER RIDGE PRODUCING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
THIS LOW WILL ALSO RESULT IN LOW CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF
THE FIRE SITE ON SUNDAY AND OVER THE FIRE SITE ON MONDAY.  GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF ANY STORM.  EAST
TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE IN RH WITH VERY GOOD
RECOVERY AT NIGHT.


.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (145800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............63           76           85
RH..............62           36           23
20 FT WIND DIR..E            E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..8            9            12
20 FT WIND GUST.             10           15
MIX HGT (FT)....500          5500         10500
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           E            E
TRANS WIND SPD..4            6            11
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR         VYGOOD
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (114000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (10300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............84           74           69
RH..............24           37           53
20 FT WIND DIR..E            E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..16           13           10
20 FT WIND GUST.19           15
MIX HGT (FT)....9500         4000         1500
TRANS WIND DIR..E            SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..12           16           19
VENT CAT........VYGOOD       GOOD         POOR
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....3            2            3

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (98300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD       ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM       TSTORM       TSTORM
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............62           73           82
RH..............74           49           35
20 FT WIND DIR..E            E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..8            9            11
20 FT WIND GUST.             10           14
MIX HGT (FT)....500          3500         6500
TRANS WIND DIR..S            SE           E
TRANS WIND SPD..4            6            11
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR         GOOD
LAL.............2            2            2
HAINES INDEX....3            2            2

$$

FORECASTER...CAIN
REQUESTED BY...TONY MCWILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120630.HORSE.01/MAF