FNUS75 KRIW 011046
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEX CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
446 AM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2008 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 1500 LOCAL TODAY WITH
WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON TO GENERATE MAINLY DRY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND AND DRY LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WILL HELP PULL A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN 1800 AND 2000 LOCAL THIS EVENING. A WIND SHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND GUSTY WIND WILL ACCOMPANY FRONTAL PASSAGE.
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE ANTICIPATED
MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS COLD FRONT.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...JONES

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL
                    POSSIBLE AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BY 0900.
                    AFTER 1400...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1500.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY 1500.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN LAL 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN GRADUALLY
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 10000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH BY 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GRADUALLY INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200 WITH LITTLE OR
                    NO RAINFALL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-64 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH BETWEEN 1800 AND 2000. OCCASIONAL
                    WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2300. WIND
                    DECREASING AND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    15 MPH BY 2000. WEST WIND DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN LAL 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH BY
                    MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING POOR TO
                    FAIR BY MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BY 0900.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN LAL 6.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN GRADUALLY
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 8000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...
                    THEN SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GRADUALLY INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT BY 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WIND
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WIND
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...JONES
REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120630.INDEX.01/RIW