FNUS75 KRIW 302337 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR OTTER CREEK...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 537 PM MDT SAT JUN 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1630 MDT ON JUNE 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...THE BASIS FOR THE RED FLAG WARNING ON SUNDAY IS DUE THE HOT TEMPERATURES...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HAINES INDEX OF 6 AND A SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ON EXPOSED RIDGE TOPS AND UNPROTECTED AREAS. THE WIND IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BETWEEN 1300 AND 1500 SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND DIMINISH BETWEEN 2000 AND 2200 SUNDAY EVENING. THEN A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN WYOMING AROUND MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT AT THE FIRE TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST BY 200 AM MONDAY MORNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...AR .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET. THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY OR EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER SUNSET...WIND DECREASING TO 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER 300 AM SUNDAY MORNING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 300 AM SUNDAY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600-10600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 300 AM SUNDAY MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD...BECOMING FAIR AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-99. MIN HUMIDITY........4-8 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1300. THEN SOUTH WIND AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY 1500. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 7 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1300. THEN SOUTH WIND AT 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY 1500. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000-13000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1300. SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-63. MAX HUMIDITY........44-47 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WIND AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT. WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH WIND AT 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL SUNSET...THEN 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT. WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 12 TO 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11400-12400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3800-4800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (215300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR (55400 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-89. MIN HUMIDITY........13-16 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (51500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (133600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ROSS REQUESTED BY...OTTER CREEK IC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120630.OTTER.02/RIW