FNUS75 KBOU 012334 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAGSTAFF...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 525 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE ALOFT THROUGH MONDAY. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE EAST MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BUT IT APPEARS TOO DRY FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. A WEAK FRONT WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS WILL SWITCH FROM WESTERLY MONDAY MORNING TO EASTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER WITH SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59. MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 5-10 TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-86. MIN HUMIDITY........14-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 5-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12600-13600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60. MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....92. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 14000-15000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FLAGSTAFF. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/01-17 55 16 3 83 12 SE 9 15 5 3 W14 12754 SW 8 93291 G 07/01-18 49 10 2 81 14 SE10 16 5 2 W20 11525 SW 9 93475 G 07/01-19 49 10 2 79 16 S10 16 5 2 W20 8179 SW10 67707 G 07/01-20 49 10 2 74 20 S10 16 5 2 W17 4833 S12 41939 F 07/01-21 49 7 2 69 25 S 9 15 5 2 W15 1487 S13 16172 P 07/01-22 49 7 2 66 28 S 9 14 5 2 W15 1153 S13 12476 P 07/01-23 49 7 2 65 29 S 8 14 4 2 W14 820 S13 8780 P 07/02-00 48 0 0 63 31 S 8 13 4 1 W14 487 S12 5083 P 07/02-01 48 0 0 63 32 SW 8 8 4 1 W14 369 SW10 3625 P 07/02-02 48 0 0 62 35 SW 7 7 5 1 W13 252 W 8 2166 P 07/02-03 37 0 0 61 37 SW 7 7 5 1 W13 134 W 6 707 P 07/02-04 37 0 0 60 39 W 7 7 5 1 W13 132 W 7 740 P 07/02-05 37 0 0 60 40 W 7 7 5 1 W14 129 W 7 773 P 07/02-06 41 0 0 60 41 NW 7 7 5 1 W14 126 W 7 806 P 07/02-07 41 0 0 67 32 NW 6 6 5 1 W14 2569 NW 7 13811 P 07/02-08 41 0 0 74 24 NW 5 5 5 1 W14 5013 NW 7 26817 P 07/02-09 56 9 2 79 20 N 3 3 5 1 W13 7457 N 6 39822 P 07/02-10 56 9 2 81 18 N 5 5 5 1 W13 9801 NW 5 37325 P 07/02-11 56 9 2 82 17 NE 6 6 5 1 SW12 12146 W 3 34827 P 07/02-12 68 19 4 83 17 E 7 7 5 3 SW10 14490 W 2 32330 P 07/02-13 68 19 4 82 17 E 7 7 5 3 W10 13962 W 2 24190 P 07/02-14 68 19 4 83 16 E 7 7 4 3 W10 13433 CALM 16051 P 07/02-15 68 30 9 82 17 E 6 6 4 3 W10 12905 CALM 7911 P 07/02-16 68 30 9 82 17 E 5 5 4 3 W10 12663 CALM 15532 P 07/02-17 68 30 9 81 18 E 3 3 4 3 W10 12420 SW 2 23152 P 07/02-18 66 20 4 80 18 E 2 2 4 3 W10 12021 S 3 30390 P 07/02-19 66 20 4 79 20 E 3 3 4 3 W 9 8848 S 3 24617 P 07/02-20 66 20 4 75 23 SE 3 3 5 3 W 8 5675 S 5 18845 P 07/02-21 66 20 4 71 27 S 5 5 5 3 W 7 2502 S 6 13072 P 07/02-22 66 20 4 69 30 S 6 6 5 3 SW 7 1763 S 6 9115 P 07/02-23 66 20 4 68 33 S 6 6 5 3 SW 7 1023 S 6 5157 P 07/03-00 46 0 0 66 35 S 7 7 5 1 SW 7 284 S 5 1199 P 07/03-01 46 0 0 65 37 S 8 13 5 1 SW 8 254 S 6 1278 P 07/03-02 46 0 0 63 39 S 9 15 4 1 W 8 224 SW 7 1356 P 07/03-03 46 0 0 62 41 S10 16 4 1 W 9 195 SW 8 1434 P 07/03-04 46 0 0 61 43 S12 18 4 1 W 9 174 SW 9 1363 P 07/03-05 46 0 0 61 43 SW13 21 5 1 SW 8 153 SW10 1291 P 07/03-06 40 0 0 62 42 SW13 21 5 1 SW 7 132 SW10 1220 P 07/03-07 40 0 0 64 37 SW10 16 5 1 SW 7 1376 SW 9 6467 P 07/03-08 40 0 0 70 29 W 7 7 5 1 SW 6 2620 W 7 11714 P 07/03-09 40 0 0 76 23 W 3 3 5 1 SW 7 3864 W 5 16961 P 07/03-10 40 0 0 81 19 SW 2 2 5 1 SW 8 7146 W 5 32398 P 07/03-11 40 0 0 85 17 S 2 2 5 1 SW10 10429 W 6 47835 F 07/03-12 61 20 4 87 15 SE 2 2 5 3 SW12 13711 SW 6 63272 G 07/03-13 61 20 4 89 15 SE 2 2 5 3 W13 14162 SW 6 68174 G 07/03-14 61 20 4 90 14 S 2 2 5 3 W14 14614 W 6 73075 G 07/03-15 61 20 4 90 14 S 3 3 5 3 W14 15065 W 6 77976 G 07/03-16 61 20 4 91 14 S 5 5 5 3 W15 14485 W 6 77337 G 07/03-17 61 20 4 90 14 S 7 7 4 3 W15 13905 W 7 76698 G 07/03-18 62 20 4 89 15 S 8 13 4 3 W15 13325 W 7 76059 G 07/03-19 62 20 4 86 17 S 8 13 4 3 W13 9478 SW 7 54890 F 07/03-20 62 20 4 82 20 S 8 13 5 3 W10 5631 SW 8 33721 P 07/03-21 62 20 4 76 25 S 7 7 5 3 W 8 1784 S 8 12552 P 07/03-22 62 20 4 73 29 SW 6 6 5 3 W 6 1261 SW 7 8697 P 07/03-23 62 20 4 71 31 SW 6 6 5 3 SW 5 739 SW 6 4843 P 07/04-00 23 0 0 69 34 SW 5 5 5 1 SW 3 216 W 6 989 P 07/04-01 23 0 0 67 36 W 3 3 5 1 SW 5 193 W 6 920 P 07/04-02 23 0 0 66 37 W 2 2 5 1 S 6 169 W 6 851 P 07/04-03 23 0 0 64 39 NW 2 2 5 1 S 7 146 W 6 783 P 07/04-04 23 0 0 63 40 NW 2 2 5 1 S 8 140 W 7 777 P 07/04-05 23 0 0 63 39 N 3 3 5 1 S 9 135 NW 7 771 P 07/04-06 23 7 1 63 38 N 5 5 5 1 S10 130 NW 7 765 P 07/04-07 23 7 1 65 34 N 5 5 5 1 S 9 1943 N 6 9127 P 07/04-08 23 7 1 71 27 N 6 6 5 1 SE 9 3757 N 6 17488 P 07/04-09 23 7 1 77 22 NE 6 6 5 1 SE 8 5571 NE 6 25850 P 07/04-10 23 7 1 82 18 NE 6 6 5 1 SE 9 8553 NE 6 38933 P 07/04-11 23 7 1 85 16 NE 6 6 4 1 SE 9 11536 E 6 52015 F 07/04-12 57 20 4 87 15 NE 6 6 4 3 SE 9 14519 SE 5 65098 G 07/04-13 57 20 4 89 14 NE 6 6 4 3 SE 9 14790 SE 6 72171 G 07/04-14 57 20 4 90 14 NE 6 6 4 3 SE 9 15062 SE 6 79245 G 07/04-15 57 20 4 90 14 E 6 6 4 3 S 9 15333 SE 7 86318 G 07/04-16 57 20 4 91 15 E 7 7 4 3 S 9 14874 SE 7 88290 G 07/04-17 57 20 4 90 16 E 8 8 3 3 S 8 14414 S 7 90261 G 07/04-18 64 25 5 88 18 E 8 13 3 3 S 7 13955 S 8 92232 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MIKE FRARY - FBAN REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120701.FLAGS.01/BOU