FNUS75 KCYS 020241
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR SQUIRREL CREEK...CA-STB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
841 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2002 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. THAT FEATURE WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES VERY WARM THROUGH THAT TIME. ALSO...THE FLOW
AROUND THE UPPER HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN MOISTURE IN THE
MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THAT WILL RESULT IN SOME
LINGERING SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING NEAR THE FIRE AND
THEN A SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE BRIEF
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND LIGHTNING AND ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL.
HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE MONDAY
MORNING. THE FRONT WILL ACT TO SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE EAST FOR A
TIME BEFORE GOING BACK TO SOUTHWEST. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN
NEAR THE FIRE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SLIGHTLY HIGHER FOR
MONDAY AT THE FIRE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH UNTIL 9 PM WITH GUSTS TO
                    22 MPH. THEN DOWNSLOPE OR DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    (160100-4300 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. THEN A SCATTERED COVERAGE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL
                    PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND A WETTING RAIN.
                    GUSTY WINDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 TO 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH BY LATE MORNING WITH
                    GUSTS TO 24 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY MIDDAY. (160100 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SCATTERED
                    COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
                    STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TO 40
                    MPH AND A WETTING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH UNTIL 9 PM WITH GUSTS TO
                    24 MPH. THEN DOWNSLOPE OR DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................40.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    (160100-4300 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...WEILAND
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL HOOSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.SQUIR.03/CYS