FNUS74 KEPZ 011719
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CHARLEY WELL FIRE...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1119 AM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1102 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL CONTINUE THE
NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA TODAY AND MONDAY. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL ALSO CONTINUE...GIVING THE AREA ANOTHER
RISK OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE
WARM...THOUGH NOT QUITE AS WARM AS THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. BY MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY...AN UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN
MEXICO AND EVENTUALLY UP OVER FAR WESTERN ARIZONA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH AND GIVE THE
AREA HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE RISK OF
FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH THE COVERAGE.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....VERY GOOD.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200-11300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 KNOTS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....POOR


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900-11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.CHARL.01/EPZ