FNUS75 KGJT 012316
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
516 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1656 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO EXERT ITS INFLUENCE OVER
THE AREA THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOME CONVECTION HAS
FORMED OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY THOUGH NO LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE
BEEN CONFIRMED AS OF YET. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED THIS EVENING
SO THE BIGGEST CONCERN WILL BE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE
SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND THE AREA. OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 45 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE. CONVECTION SHOULD QUICKLY DIE DOWN NEAR SUNSET. BY
TOMORROW...THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD SOMEWHAT
ALLOWING MOISTURE TO MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WILL ALLOW MORE
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO FIRE OVER AND NEAR THE BURN SITE.
AGAIN...THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS AND SHOWERS WILL BE
OUTFLOW WINDS THAT MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 45 MPH FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AFTER 9 PM.
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.  AFTER 12PM...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.LIGHT.01/GJT