FNUS75 KGJT 012148
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE RIDGE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
348 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1502 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS TO THE FIRE SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MOST OF THE MOISTURE IS IN THE MID AND HIGH LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT
IN ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS BUT LIMITED
RAINFALL. LIGHTNING WILL ALSO POSE A THREAT TO FIRE PERSONNEL...AS
WELL AS POSSIBLY CAUSING ADDITIONAL FIRE STARTS. LASTLY OUTFLOW
WINDS FROM DISTANT STORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY TRAVEL LONG
DISTANCES AND REACH THE FIRE SITE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) AFTER 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
                    THUNDERSTORM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......AFTER 1100 SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...WTFOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.PINER.01/GJT