FNUS72 KMHX 021017 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 617 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1517 EDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH BUILDS NORTH OF THE REGION. A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH LATE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............42 40 45 51 55 61 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................71 73 85 92 95 94 RH..................100 100 67 50 43 45 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 4 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 LVORI...............9 9 3 2 2 1 ADI.................5 5 3 17 29 45 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 6 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 71 68 65 62 57 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................91 86 81 79 77 75 RH..................52 65 76 80 84 92 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 4 5 8 ADI.................49 12 12 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............49 44 65 61 58 61 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................75 78 86 91 93 92 RH..................95 93 70 61 56 56 20 FT WIND..........W 3 W 3 W 5 SW 5 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 15 15 LVORI...............9 8 3 1 1 2 ADI.................4 3 5 37 70 33 HAINES INDEX........4 5 4 4 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...CROATAN OPERATIONS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120701.DADFI.01/MHX