FNUS75 KPUB 011928
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TREASURE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
128 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

OUTLOOK THROUGH MONDAY...

BURN AREA REMAINS UNDER WARM RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH HIGH LEVEL
EARLY MONSOONAL MOISTURE SPREADING INTO THE REGION.  THIS WILL RESULT
IN GENERALLY DRY AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BURN
SITE THROUGH MONDAY...BUT WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND LIGHT AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL.

OUTLOOK TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

THIS SAME GENERAL PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT MIDWEEK.
HOWEVER...BY LATE IN THE WEEK...THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY...MONSOONAL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION...ALLOWING FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND INCREASED CHANCES
FOR SIGNIFICANT...WETTING RAINFALL...THAT SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  ALSO TO BE EXPECTED WITH THE INFLUX OF MONSOON MOISTURE LATE
IN THE WEEK...ARE MORE CLOUDS...HIGHER HUMIDITIES...AND GENERALLY LIGHT
SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS.  THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WINDS SHOULD
DECREASE WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS INCREASES AT THIS TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS BUT JUST LIGHT AMOUNTS
                    OF RAINFALL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WESTERLY 5-10 MPH RIDGES...OTHERWISE
                    SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000 LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000 BECOMING POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........RIDGES...WESTERLY 5-10 MPH UNTIL AROUND 1200
                    ...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
                    OTHERWISE...SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN RISING TO
                    11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...BILL WALLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.TREAS.01/PUB