FNUS75 KRIW 011306
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR OTTER CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
706 AM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0629 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL MOST LIKELY DEVELOP BY 1500 LOCAL TODAY WITH
HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WILL BRING A WEAK COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN 2000 AND 2100 LOCAL THIS EVENING.
A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WILL ACCOMPANY FRONTAL PASSAGE.
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE ANTICIPATED
MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS COLD FRONT.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...JONES

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-7 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO NEAR 30 MPH UNTIL AROUND 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 9 MPH. WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    WIND INCREASING BETWEEN 1300 AND 1500 TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    GRADUALLY BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY 1200. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1400.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......GRADUALLY INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT BY 1400.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
                    25 MPH UNTIL 1900. COLD FRONT PASSES BETWEEN
                    2000 AND 2100 SWITCHING WIND TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN GRADUALLY
                    DECREASING TO POOR BY MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 9 MPH BETWEEN
                    0900 AND 1000. GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. WIND COULD BECOME SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER 1600.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 8000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN GRADUALLY
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BY 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WIND AROUND 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S. WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...JONES
REQUESTED BY...OTTER CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.OTTER.01/RIW