FNUS73 KUNR 020021
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OIL CREEK...WYOMING STATE FORESTRY DIVISION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
621 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1756 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MAJORITY OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE PASSING EAST OF THE
BURN AREA. THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THIS
EVENING...BUT THAT IS UNLIKELY. GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH A COLD FRONT ARRIVING
AROUND 300 AM MDT. EXPECT A PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 20 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH RIDGE TOP GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH. WINDS SHIFTING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH
                    AROUND 3 AM.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 TO 1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING WEST AROUND 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH THROUGH 9 AM...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH. LIGHT TERRAIN DOMINATED
                    WINDS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...PLANNING SECTION CHIEF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120701.OILCR.02/UNR