FNUS75 KABQ 020937
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRYSTAL CREEK FIRE...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
337 AM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST NEW
MEXICO WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER CROP OF HIGH BASED
MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS ARE THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN FOR THE
BURN AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO TRANSPORT DEEP MONSOON MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO WESTERN NM. THE INCREASED MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING
SCATTERED WET SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN AREA LATE-DAY
WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84-87.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 14-19 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......15500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/78000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/42785 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/76879 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59-63.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 26-31 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/78000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       GOOD/60000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83-86.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 15-20 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/87500 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/19252 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/74733 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...33

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC J  JUNES
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.CRYST.01/ABQ