FNUS75 KABQ 020945
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOADLENA LAKE 2...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
345 AM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST NEW
MEXICO WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER CROP OF HIGH
BASED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS ARE THE MAIN WEATHER
CONCERN FOR THE BURN AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO TRANSPORT
DEEP MONSOON MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO WESTERN NM. THE INCREASED
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING SCATTERED WET SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN AREA LATE-DAY WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83-86.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 15-20 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                       11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                       NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/84000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/46481 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/82430 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57-61.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 26-31 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       NORTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/84000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       FAIR/50000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82-85.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 16-21 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE                      NORTH-NORTHW
                       NORTH-NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/100000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/19012 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/80953 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...33

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC J  JUNES
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.TOADL.02/ABQ