FNUS75 KBOU 022135 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH PARK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 325 PM MDT MON JUL 2 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE WILL INCREASE THE MOISTURE WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY STILL PRODUCE MORE WIND THAN RAIN SHOWERS...BUT A FEW CELLS COULD PRODUCE UP TO A TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE OUTFLOW WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...BUT WITH A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE TRANSPORT WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-89. MIN HUMIDITY........16-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. THE WINDS HOWEVER WILL LIKELY BE VARIABLE IN BOTH SPEED AND DIRECTION FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13000-14000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1600. FAIR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....58. MAX HUMIDITY........52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH/NORTHEAST 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST/NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88. MIN HUMIDITY........16-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12200-13200 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HIGH PARK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/02-15 69 29 8 85 20 E 3 3 4 4 W13 13980 W 5 62685 G 07/02-16 69 29 8 85 21 E 3 3 4 4 W12 13344 W 5 55524 F 07/02-17 69 29 8 83 23 E 3 3 5 4 W12 12707 W 5 48363 F 07/02-18 66 24 5 82 24 E 3 3 5 3 W10 12071 W 3 41202 F 07/02-19 66 24 5 79 26 E 3 3 5 3 W 7 8175 SW 5 27986 P 07/02-20 66 24 5 77 28 S 3 3 5 3 W 3 4280 SW 5 14770 P 07/02-21 66 24 5 72 33 SW 3 3 5 3 SW 2 385 SW 5 1555 P 07/02-22 66 24 5 68 39 SW 3 3 5 3 SW 5 323 SW 5 1302 P 07/02-23 66 24 5 65 44 SW 3 3 5 3 SW 8 262 S 5 1049 P 07/03-00 46 2 0 63 49 S 3 3 5 1 S12 200 S 5 795 P 07/03-01 46 2 0 61 51 SW 5 5 5 1 SW13 190 S 5 805 P 07/03-02 46 2 0 60 52 SW 5 5 5 1 SW13 179 SW 6 815 P 07/03-03 46 2 0 59 52 W 6 6 5 1 SW13 169 SW 6 825 P 07/03-04 46 2 0 58 52 W 7 7 5 1 SW12 161 SW 6 835 P 07/03-05 46 2 0 58 51 W 8 13 5 1 SW 9 153 W 7 845 P 07/03-06 35 0 0 58 51 W 8 13 5 1 SW 8 145 W 7 855 P 07/03-07 35 0 0 60 46 W 7 7 5 1 SW 7 3641 W 6 11089 P 07/03-08 35 0 0 70 33 SW 5 5 5 1 SW 6 7138 W 5 21323 P 07/03-09 35 8 2 78 25 SW 3 3 5 1 S 5 10634 SW 3 31557 P 07/03-10 35 8 2 82 22 SW 3 3 5 1 SW 6 11490 W 3 39078 P 07/03-11 35 8 2 82 20 S 5 5 5 1 SW 7 12346 W 5 46598 F 07/03-12 52 25 5 83 19 S 6 6 5 4 W 9 13202 W 5 54119 F 07/03-13 52 25 5 83 19 S 6 6 5 4 W12 13188 W 6 63728 G 07/03-14 52 25 5 84 19 S 7 7 5 4 W14 13174 W 7 73338 G 07/03-15 66 27 7 84 19 S 7 7 5 4 W15 13160 W 7 82948 G 07/03-16 66 27 7 84 19 S 8 13 5 4 W15 13094 W 7 80747 G 07/03-17 66 27 7 82 19 SE 9 14 5 4 W15 13029 W 7 78546 G 07/03-18 62 20 4 83 22 SE 8 13 3 3 W15 12412 SW 7 71081 G 07/03-19 62 20 4 80 24 SE 7 7 3 3 W15 8403 SW 7 48096 F 07/03-20 62 20 4 76 27 S 6 6 3 3 W14 4395 S 7 25110 P 07/03-21 62 20 4 71 33 S 5 5 3 3 W13 386 S 7 2124 P 07/03-22 62 20 4 68 36 S 5 5 3 3 W12 338 S 6 1746 P 07/03-23 62 20 4 66 38 SW 5 5 3 3 W10 290 SW 6 1367 P 07/04-00 52 0 0 64 41 W 5 5 3 1 W10 242 SW 5 989 P 07/04-01 52 0 0 63 43 W 5 5 3 1 W10 210 SW 6 923 P 07/04-02 52 0 0 61 44 W 6 6 3 1 SW10 179 W 6 858 P 07/04-03 52 0 0 59 45 W 6 6 3 1 SW10 148 W 6 793 P 07/04-04 52 0 0 58 45 W 7 7 3 1 SW12 145 W 7 861 P 07/04-05 52 0 0 58 43 W 8 13 3 1 S12 142 W 8 929 P 07/04-06 37 0 0 58 41 W 8 13 3 1 S12 139 NW 8 997 P 07/04-07 37 0 0 61 38 NW 8 8 3 1 S12 215 NW 8 1588 P 07/04-08 37 0 0 65 33 N 7 7 3 1 S10 291 N 8 2179 P 07/04-09 37 0 0 69 29 N 7 7 3 1 S10 368 N 9 2771 P 07/04-10 37 7 1 73 25 N 8 13 3 1 S 9 3646 NE 8 22784 P 07/04-11 37 7 1 77 22 E 9 15 3 1 S 9 6925 E 8 42796 F 07/04-12 77 7 1 78 21 E10 16 3 1 S 8 10203 SE 7 62809 G 07/04-13 77 7 1 80 21 E10 17 3 1 S 9 10355 SE 8 69910 G 07/04-14 77 30 9 81 21 E10 17 3 4 S 9 10508 SE 8 77011 G 07/04-15 77 30 9 81 22 E10 17 3 4 S 9 10660 SE 9 84112 G 07/04-16 77 30 9 81 23 E12 17 3 4 S 9 10064 SE10 87974 G 07/04-17 77 30 9 81 25 SE12 17 2 4 S10 9467 SE12 91835 G 07/04-18 81 30 9 79 27 SE10 17 2 4 S10 8871 SE13 95697 G 07/04-19 81 30 9 77 30 SE10 16 2 4 S13 6248 SE10 65516 G 07/04-20 81 30 9 73 35 SE 8 14 2 4 S16 3625 S 8 35336 P 07/04-21 81 30 9 69 42 SE 7 7 2 4 S18 1002 S 6 5156 P 07/04-22 81 30 9 66 48 S 5 5 2 4 S22 838 S 5 3857 P 07/04-23 81 30 9 64 52 S 3 3 2 4 S25 674 SW 3 2558 P 07/05-00 63 10 2 62 56 SW 3 3 2 2 S26 510 W 2 1259 P 07/05-01 63 10 2 61 60 SW 3 3 2 2 S25 419 W 3 1124 P 07/05-02 63 10 2 59 63 SW 3 3 2 2 SW23 329 SW 3 988 P 07/05-03 63 10 2 58 66 SW 5 5 2 2 SW21 238 SW 5 853 P 07/05-04 63 10 2 57 69 SW 5 5 2 2 SW18 234 SW 5 881 P 07/05-05 63 10 2 57 69 W 5 5 2 2 W16 229 W 5 909 P 07/05-06 47 10 2 57 67 W 5 5 2 2 W14 224 W 5 936 P 07/05-07 47 10 2 59 59 SW 3 3 2 2 W13 565 SW 5 2376 P 07/05-08 47 10 2 64 47 SW 3 3 3 2 W12 906 S 5 3815 P 07/05-09 47 16 3 69 37 S 2 2 3 3 SW10 1248 S 5 5255 P 07/05-10 47 16 3 73 31 S 2 2 3 3 SW 9 3965 S 3 7642 P 07/05-11 47 16 3 77 28 SE 2 2 3 3 SW 8 6682 SW 2 10030 P 07/05-12 77 37 15 79 26 SE 2 2 3 4 SW 8 9400 CALM 12417 P 07/05-13 77 37 15 80 25 SE 2 2 3 4 SW 7 9925 CALM 14719 P 07/05-14 77 37 15 81 24 SE 3 3 3 4 W 7 10450 W 2 17021 P 07/05-15 77 37 15 81 25 SE 3 3 3 4 W 7 10974 W 2 19322 P 07/05-16 77 37 15 82 26 SE 3 3 3 4 W 7 10631 W 2 16166 P 07/05-17 77 37 15 81 28 S 2 2 2 4 NW 7 10287 CALM 13009 P 07/05-18 77 34 13 80 31 S 2 2 2 4 NW 7 9944 CALM 9852 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120702.HIGHP.01/BOU