FNUS75 KCYS 021848 CCA
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR SQUIRREL CREEK...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1241 PM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1222 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

STATIONARY FRONT LYING ACROSS SOUTHERN WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
FRONT WILL SERVE AS A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH
BASED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THOUGH WINDS WILL BE PRODOMINANTLY
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS COULD CREATE ERRATIC
DOWNBURST WINDS FROM ANY DIRECTION. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO IMPACT THE WILDFIRE THROUGH 8 PM BEFORE THEY START DISSIPATING.
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 12 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE
WITH OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES AROUND 50 PERCENT. WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME
GUSTY ONCE AGAIN TUESDAY WITH VERY POOR AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BURN AREA FOR LATE TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
                    AROUND THUNDERSTORMS....ERRATIC AND
VARIABLE                     AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (105500-115900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO POOR (52300-4000 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (83600-225800 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...CLAYCOMB
REQUESTED BY...BONES BONENBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.SQUIR.01/CYS