FNUS75 KGJT 022026
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
226 PM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1341 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY HELPING
TO GENERATE SOME VIRGA AND ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.
FOR TUESDAY NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND
FAIRLY LOW HUMIDITY. HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY OVER THE FIRE SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA
                    OR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING. ERRATIC WIND
                    GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY MORNING (30-40%) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). WIDELY SCATTERED MAINLY
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......MORNING NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 45
                    MPH POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA OR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.LIGHT.01/GJT