FNUS72 KJAX 020735
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER RIVER SV-17...FLORIDA DEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
335 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK...
WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
THE COMBINATION OF THE SURFACE TROUGH AND ANY SEA BREEZE AND OTHER
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED MAINLY LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING STORMS. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
OTHERWISE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........84 AT IGNITION...MAX 93.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 53.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........18     15     22     26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............84     91     93     92
RH..............67     54     49     50
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 10   SW 10  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10            15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   3600   4100   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9   W 12   SW 10  SW 13
DISPERSION INDX.32     42     41     49
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      10     0
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........28     26     30     33     33     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............88     83     79     76     75     73
RH..............56     67     80     87     92     96
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 9    SW 7   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3400   2300   1300   900    600    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   W 18   W 14   W 10   SW 10  SW 6
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      8
DISPERSION INDX.57     13     7      6      6      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 65.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...SALLY LIEB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120702.SILVE.01/JAX