FNUS75 KPUB 021515
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TREASURE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
915 AM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

OUTLOOK THROUGH TUESDAY...

BURN AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER WARM RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH HIGH LEVEL
MONSOONAL MOISTURE GRADUALLY INCREASING OVER THE REGION.  THIS WILL RESULT
IN WARMER THAN AVERAGE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH TUESDAY...
WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LIGHTNING...
GUSTY WINDS...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL.

OUTLOOK WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BE GRADUALLY INCREASING OVER THE REGION THROUGH
THE WEEK.  BY LATE IN THE WEEK...THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY...MONSOONAL
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND INCREASED CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT...WETTING
RAINFALL THAT SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  ALSO TO BE EXPECTED
WITH THE INFLUX OF MONSOON MOISTURE LATE IN THE WEEK...ARE MORE CLOUDS...
HIGHER HUMIDITIES...AND GENERALLY LIGHT SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS.  THE POTENTIAL
FOR GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WINDS SHOULD DECREASE WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR WETTING
RAINS INCREASES DURING THIS TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS 1000-1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........GENERALLY NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH RIDGES GRADUALLY BECOMING
                    EASTERLY AFTER 1500...OTHERWISE SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 12500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40 PERCENT)...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70 PERCENT) 1000-1200 WITH SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND
                    LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH RIDGES...OTHERWISE
                    SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...LCORBIN FS FED US
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.TREAS.01/PUB