FNUS75 KRIW 021615
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR OTTER CREEK...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1015 AM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0920 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
DISPATCH AREA.  POOR RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.  ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS MID LEVEL
MOISTURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA WITH A RIDGE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND A
PACIFIC DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE NORTH.  TUESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE
DRY AND INCREASINGLY WINDY TREND AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES BY TO THE
NORTH. WEDNESDAY WILL BE COOLER AND LESS WINDY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE BEGINNING AROUND 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY MAINLY SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON BY 1400.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 6.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-9900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (77600
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH ALONG WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER 0200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................6 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-8300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-1900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (85400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (19800
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....96-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-8 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY 1100 THEN SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH BY 1300 THEN SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH BY 1500.                   AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500-12500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (226400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE EVENING...THEN AREAS
OF SMOKE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 60. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE. AREAS OF SMOKE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CREAGEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.OTTER.03/RIW