FNUS71 KRNK 021711 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDLICK...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 111 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1258 EDT ON JULY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS OUR AREA THIS WEEK...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THE TREND OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SMALL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE...AND WILL PROVIDE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS MORNING THUNDERSTORMS WILL HINDER CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND THERE IS A HIGHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ONCE AGAIN...WATCHING FOR MCS DROPPING SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............46 53 60 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................81 85 84 RH..................44 41 44 20 FT WIND..........NW 5 NW 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 4 NW 5 NW 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 CWR.................20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 62 61 60 61 64 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................83 79 75 73 71 70 RH..................47 61 68 73 75 77 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 N 5 N 2 NE 2 E 1 SE 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 4 N 4 N 2 NE 1 E 1 SE 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 10 5 5 CWR.................20 20 20 30 40 40 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING WEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............68 71 70 68 65 67 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................68 71 75 79 81 83 RH..................80 74 64 57 53 50 20 FT WIND..........S 2 W 2 W 4 W 4 W 4 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 1 W 1 W 3 W 3 W 3 W 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 10 5 CWR.................40 40 40 40 30 40 $$ FORECASTER...KOSTURA REQUESTED BY...DEANNA THOMPSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120702.MUDLI.01/RNK