FNUS73 KUNR 022159
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OIL CREEK...WA IMT #5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
359 PM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1541 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHEAST
WYOMING AND SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND
GUSTY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS EVENING
WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE FIRE AREA.
CURRENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE EAST OF THE FIRE AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE NORTH AND EAST AND DISSIPATE. LIGHT
NORTH WINDS SHOULD SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON
OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME
BREEZY. WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 90S...AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE TEENS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP. IN ADDITION...A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL ABRUPTLY SWITCH WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AT 20 TO
35 MPH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    TO SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...MATT CASTLE FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.OILCR.02/UNR