FNUS73 KUNR 020826
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKER PEAK...SD-BKF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
226 AM MDT MON JUL 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0201 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING...SWITCHING
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
OCCUR EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT THEN SHOULD END AFTER SUNRISE AS
THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BLACK HILLS...WITH ADDITIONAL
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.


.REST OF THE NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH...SWITCHING NORTHWEST 10 TO
                    20 MPH BY 6 AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94.
RH..................MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 TO 12100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 12
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING
                    TO GOOD LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 TO 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 21
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 96.
RH..................MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16000 TO 17000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MB
REQUESTED BY...MATT SCOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120702.PARKE.01/UNR