FNUS75 KBOU 032234 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH PARK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 427 PM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RELATIVELY WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WITH THE STORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES WITH NORTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE SURFACE FLOW AGAINST THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-63. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1500 THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83. MIN HUMIDITY........22-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-11 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 5-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-59. MAX HUMIDITY........66-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-82. MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HIGH PARK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/03-16 52 27 7 84 22 S 6 6 3 4 W20 11952 W12 114074 V 07/03-17 52 27 7 82 25 SW 6 6 3 4 W21 10859 W10 101259 V 07/03-18 65 18 4 81 27 SW 6 6 4 3 W22 9766 W10 88443 G 07/03-19 65 18 4 79 30 SW 5 5 4 3 W20 6659 SW 9 59636 F 07/03-20 65 18 4 77 32 SW 3 3 4 3 NW17 3552 SW 7 30829 P 07/03-21 65 4 1 72 37 SW 3 3 4 1 NW14 445 SW 6 2022 P 07/03-22 65 4 1 69 41 SW 5 5 4 1 NW10 349 SW 6 1687 P 07/03-23 65 4 1 66 44 W 6 6 5 1 NW 8 254 SW 7 1353 P 07/04-00 47 3 1 64 46 W 7 7 5 1 W 6 158 W 7 1018 P 07/04-01 47 3 1 62 49 W 8 13 5 1 W 5 147 W 8 1074 P 07/04-02 47 3 1 61 51 W 8 14 5 1 W 5 136 W 9 1129 P 07/04-03 47 3 1 60 52 W 9 15 5 1 W 5 125 W10 1185 P 07/04-04 47 3 1 59 51 W10 16 5 1 W 5 133 W12 1288 P 07/04-05 47 3 1 59 51 W10 17 5 1 W 6 142 W12 1392 P 07/04-06 38 2 0 60 48 W10 16 5 1 SW 6 150 W12 1496 P 07/04-07 38 2 0 63 45 NW 9 14 5 1 W 6 554 NW10 4384 P 07/04-08 38 2 0 66 41 N 7 7 5 1 W 5 958 NW 9 7273 P 07/04-09 34 3 1 70 36 N 6 6 5 1 W 5 1362 N 8 10161 P 07/04-10 34 3 1 74 31 NE 7 7 5 1 SW 3 4316 N 7 15661 P 07/04-11 34 3 1 77 27 E 9 14 4 1 S 2 7271 NE 5 21160 P 07/04-12 56 17 3 78 25 E10 16 4 3 S 2 10225 E 3 26660 P 07/04-13 56 17 3 79 24 E10 16 4 3 S 3 10517 E 3 35434 P 07/04-14 56 17 3 80 24 E 9 16 3 3 S 6 10810 SE 5 44209 F 07/04-15 64 21 4 80 24 E 9 15 3 3 S 8 11102 SE 6 52983 F 07/04-16 64 21 4 81 24 E 9 15 3 3 S 9 10680 SE 7 61319 G 07/04-17 64 21 4 80 26 E10 16 3 3 S10 10258 S 8 69656 G 07/04-18 75 30 9 79 27 E10 16 3 4 S10 9836 S 9 77992 G 07/04-19 75 30 9 77 30 SE 9 15 3 4 S 9 7399 S10 62476 G 07/04-20 75 30 9 73 35 SE 8 13 3 4 S 9 4962 SE13 46960 F 07/04-21 75 30 9 69 42 SE 7 7 3 4 S 9 2525 SE14 31444 P 07/04-22 75 30 9 66 47 SE 6 6 3 4 S10 1780 SE12 21546 P 07/04-23 75 30 9 65 51 S 5 5 3 4 S14 1035 SE 9 11648 P 07/05-00 52 10 2 63 55 S 3 3 3 2 S15 290 S 7 1750 P 07/05-01 52 10 2 61 59 S 2 2 3 2 S16 275 S 7 1615 P 07/05-02 52 10 2 60 61 S 2 2 3 2 S16 260 S 7 1481 P 07/05-03 52 10 2 59 64 S 2 2 3 2 S15 245 S 6 1346 P 07/05-04 52 10 2 58 66 S 2 2 3 2 S15 235 S 6 1127 P 07/05-05 52 10 2 58 66 SW 2 2 3 2 S15 224 S 5 909 P 07/05-06 59 10 2 58 65 W 3 3 3 2 S15 214 SW 3 690 P 07/05-07 59 10 2 60 58 SW 5 5 3 2 S16 1173 S 6 10791 P 07/05-08 59 20 4 64 48 SE 6 6 3 3 S17 2131 S 9 20892 P 07/05-09 59 20 4 69 39 SE 7 7 3 3 S18 3089 SE12 30993 P 07/05-10 59 20 4 73 33 SE 7 7 3 3 S18 5297 SE13 65178 G 07/05-11 59 20 4 76 28 SE 7 7 3 3 S18 7504 SE15 99363 G 07/05-12 76 50 26 78 26 SE 7 7 3 4 S17 9711 SE16 133548 V 07/05-13 76 50 26 79 26 SE 8 13 3 4 S16 10197 S15 132787 V 07/05-14 76 50 26 80 26 SE 9 14 3 4 S16 10683 S14 132026 V 07/05-15 76 50 26 80 27 SE 9 15 3 4 S16 11169 S14 131264 V 07/05-16 76 50 26 81 27 SE 8 14 3 4 S17 10924 S14 129799 V 07/05-17 76 50 26 80 29 SE 7 7 3 4 S18 10680 S14 128333 V 07/05-18 79 40 18 79 31 SE 6 6 3 4 S20 10436 S14 126867 V 07/05-19 79 40 18 77 34 SE 6 6 3 4 S18 7651 S13 91542 G 07/05-20 79 40 18 73 39 SE 5 5 3 4 S18 4866 S13 56217 F 07/05-21 79 40 18 69 46 SE 5 5 3 4 S17 2081 S12 20891 P 07/05-22 79 40 18 66 50 S 5 5 3 4 S18 1479 S 9 14208 P 07/05-23 79 40 18 65 53 SW 3 3 3 4 SW18 878 S 6 7524 P 07/06-00 63 20 4 63 56 SW 3 3 3 3 SW18 277 S 3 840 P 07/06-01 63 20 4 61 59 W 3 3 3 3 SW16 245 S 5 853 P 07/06-02 63 20 4 60 62 W 5 5 3 3 SW14 214 SW 5 867 P 07/06-03 63 20 4 59 65 W 6 6 3 3 SW12 182 W 6 880 P 07/06-04 63 20 4 58 67 W 7 7 3 3 SW 8 173 W 7 1015 P 07/06-05 63 20 4 57 68 W 8 14 3 3 SW 6 164 W 8 1150 P 07/06-06 57 24 5 58 67 W 9 15 3 3 SW 3 155 W 9 1284 P 07/06-07 57 24 5 60 62 W 8 14 3 3 S 3 752 W 9 4794 P 07/06-08 57 24 5 63 57 W 7 7 3 3 S 3 1349 W 8 8304 P 07/06-09 57 24 5 66 50 W 6 6 3 3 SE 3 1946 W 7 11814 P 07/06-10 57 24 5 70 45 NW 5 5 3 3 SE 5 4308 NW 6 17984 P 07/06-11 57 24 5 72 42 N 3 3 3 3 SE 5 6670 NW 5 24154 P 07/06-12 82 40 18 74 40 N 3 3 3 4 SE 5 9031 N 3 30324 P 07/06-13 82 40 18 75 39 NE 3 3 3 4 S 3 9150 N 3 31299 P 07/06-14 82 40 18 75 39 E 5 5 3 4 SW 3 9268 NW 3 32273 P 07/06-15 82 40 18 76 39 E 5 5 3 4 SW 3 9387 NW 5 33247 P 07/06-16 82 40 18 76 39 E 5 5 3 4 SW 3 8924 NW 5 34490 P 07/06-17 82 40 18 75 40 E 3 3 3 4 SW 6 8460 N 5 35734 P 07/06-18 83 40 18 74 42 NE 3 3 3 4 SW 7 7996 N 6 36977 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PAUL KEISER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.HIGHP.02/BOU