FNUS75 KBOU 032104 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 251 PM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RELATIVELY WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WITH THE STORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES WITH NORTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE SURFACE FLOW AGAINST THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF THIS AFTERNOON... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-83. MIN HUMIDITY........16-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12400-13400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 10600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. LAL.................3. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56 MAX HUMIDITY........65-70% 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................2. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-80 MIN HUMIDITY........21-24% 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 3-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11400-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 1200-1500...THEN 4. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MILL CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/03-14 53 21 4 83 18 SW 6 6 4 3 W16 13679 W15 180502 E 07/03-15 53 23 5 83 18 SW 6 6 4 3 W18 13571 W16 195360 E 07/03-16 53 23 5 82 19 SW 6 6 4 3 W20 12082 W15 164696 E 07/03-17 53 23 5 80 22 SW 7 7 4 3 W21 10592 W14 134032 V 07/03-18 54 15 3 78 24 SW 7 7 4 3 W20 9102 W13 103368 V 07/03-19 54 15 3 76 28 SW 7 7 4 3 W18 6169 SW12 69692 G 07/03-20 54 15 3 74 32 SW 7 7 4 3 W17 3235 SW10 36015 P 07/03-21 54 3 1 69 38 SW 7 7 4 1 W14 302 SW 9 2339 P 07/03-22 54 3 1 66 43 SW 7 7 4 1 W10 249 SW 9 1985 P 07/03-23 54 3 1 63 47 SW 7 7 5 1 W 7 196 SW10 1631 P 07/04-00 43 3 1 61 50 SW 8 13 5 1 W 5 143 SW10 1277 P 07/04-01 43 3 1 60 52 SW 9 15 5 1 SW 5 140 W12 1356 P 07/04-02 43 3 1 59 52 W10 17 5 1 SW 7 137 W12 1436 P 07/04-03 43 3 1 58 54 W12 18 5 1 SW 9 135 W13 1515 P 07/04-04 43 3 1 59 52 W10 17 5 1 SW10 152 W12 1564 P 07/04-05 43 3 1 58 52 W 9 15 5 1 SW10 169 W12 1614 P 07/04-06 34 1 0 58 51 W 8 13 5 1 SW10 186 NW10 1664 P 07/04-07 34 1 0 61 45 NW 8 13 5 1 SW 9 849 NW10 6787 P 07/04-08 34 1 0 68 36 NW 8 13 5 1 SW 8 1513 NW 9 11909 P 07/04-09 29 2 0 73 29 N 8 13 5 1 SW 7 2176 N 9 17031 P 07/04-10 29 2 0 76 25 N 8 13 5 1 SW 6 5396 N 7 15997 P 07/04-11 29 2 0 78 22 NE 8 13 4 1 SW 5 8616 E 3 14963 P 07/04-12 52 17 3 80 21 E 8 13 4 3 S 5 11836 CALM 13929 P 07/04-13 52 17 3 80 21 E 9 15 4 3 S 5 11868 SE 3 32964 P 07/04-14 52 17 3 79 22 E10 16 3 3 S 6 11901 SE 5 52000 F 07/04-15 61 25 5 80 23 E12 18 3 4 S 7 11933 SE 7 71035 G 07/04-16 61 25 5 78 24 E13 20 3 4 S 9 11701 SE 8 79267 G 07/04-17 61 25 5 76 26 SE13 20 3 4 S10 11469 SE 9 87499 G 07/04-18 75 30 9 80 23 SE13 21 3 4 SE12 11525 SE12 112022 V 07/04-19 75 30 9 78 26 SE12 12 3 4 S13 8268 SE12 81582 G 07/04-20 75 30 9 74 31 SE 9 9 3 4 S13 5012 SE13 51142 F 07/04-21 75 30 9 69 38 SE 8 8 3 4 S13 1755 SE14 20702 P 07/04-22 75 30 9 66 44 SE 7 7 3 4 S14 1264 SE13 14589 P 07/04-23 75 30 9 65 48 E 7 7 3 4 S13 773 E12 8476 P 07/05-00 52 10 2 63 53 E 6 6 3 2 S13 281 E 9 2364 P 07/05-01 52 10 2 61 56 E 5 5 3 2 S10 266 E 8 1997 P 07/05-02 52 10 2 60 59 SE 5 5 3 2 SE 8 252 E 7 1631 P 07/05-03 52 10 2 58 62 SE 3 3 3 2 SE 7 237 SE 6 1265 P 07/05-04 52 10 2 57 65 S 3 3 3 2 SE 7 218 SE 6 1034 P 07/05-05 52 10 2 57 66 SW 3 3 3 2 SE 8 199 SW 5 803 P 07/05-06 56 10 2 57 64 W 3 3 3 2 SE10 180 SW 3 572 P 07/05-07 56 10 2 59 56 SW 3 3 3 2 SE12 938 SW 5 5783 P 07/05-08 56 20 4 64 43 S 5 5 3 3 S13 1696 S 6 10994 P 07/05-09 56 20 4 69 34 SE 6 6 3 3 S14 2454 SE 8 16204 P 07/05-10 56 20 4 74 28 SE 7 7 3 3 S14 5125 S 9 46557 F 07/05-11 56 20 4 77 24 SE 9 9 2 3 S15 7795 S10 76911 G 07/05-12 77 40 18 79 22 SE10 10 2 4 S15 10466 S12 107264 V 07/05-13 77 40 18 80 21 SE10 10 2 4 S15 10793 S12 110517 V 07/05-14 77 40 18 81 21 SE10 10 2 4 SW16 11120 S12 113771 V 07/05-15 77 40 18 82 21 SE10 10 2 4 SW16 11446 S12 117024 V 07/05-16 77 40 18 82 22 SE 9 9 2 4 SW16 11425 S12 114377 V 07/05-17 77 40 18 81 24 SE 8 8 3 4 SW15 11404 S12 111730 V 07/05-18 77 40 18 80 27 SE 7 7 3 4 S15 11383 S12 109082 V 07/05-19 77 40 18 78 31 SE 6 6 3 4 S14 8175 S 9 76423 G 07/05-20 77 40 18 74 36 SE 5 5 3 4 S14 4967 S 8 43764 F 07/05-21 77 40 18 69 43 SE 5 5 3 4 S13 1759 S 7 11105 P 07/05-22 77 40 18 66 48 S 5 5 3 4 S12 1255 S 7 7768 P 07/05-23 77 40 18 65 51 SW 3 3 3 4 S12 751 SW 6 4431 P 07/06-00 61 20 4 63 55 W 5 5 3 3 S12 247 W 5 1094 P 07/06-01 61 20 4 61 58 W 7 7 3 3 S14 245 W 8 1815 P 07/06-02 61 20 4 60 61 W 9 9 2 3 S16 242 W13 2536 P 07/06-03 61 20 4 58 64 W12 18 2 3 S18 240 W16 3256 P 07/06-04 61 20 4 57 67 W12 18 2 3 S18 251 W15 3222 P 07/06-05 61 20 4 57 68 W12 12 3 3 S16 262 W14 3187 P 07/06-06 57 21 4 57 67 W10 10 3 3 S14 272 W14 3153 P 07/06-07 57 21 4 59 62 NW 9 9 3 07/06-08 57 21 4 62 56 N 9 9 3 07/06-09 57 21 4 66 48 N 8 8 3 07/06-10 57 21 4 70 43 NE 7 7 3 07/06-11 57 21 4 72 39 E 7 7 3 07/06-12 82 40 18 74 38 E 6 6 4 07/06-13 82 40 18 75 36 E 6 6 4 07/06-14 82 40 18 76 36 E 6 6 4 07/06-15 82 40 18 76 36 E 6 6 4 07/06-16 82 40 18 76 36 E 6 6 4 07/06-17 82 40 18 76 38 E 6 6 4 07/06-18 78 40 18 75 40 E 6 6 4 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.MILLC.01/BOU