FNUS75 KGJT 040846
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNER 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
246 AM MDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1732 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

.TODAY...THE SURGE OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION TODAY. AS A RESULT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN
OVER THE FIRE SITE BEGINNING THIS MORNING WITH CHANCES IMPROVING
DURING THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY WITH INCREASED
MOISTURE WHILE DEW POINT VALUES RISE SLIGHTLY. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL REMAIN LIGHT...SO WINDS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN
DRIVEN EXCEPT IN THE PROXIMITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE MONSOONAL
MOISTURE SURGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND.

NOTE TO REQUESTER: IN THE FUTURE...PLEASE SUBMIT EACH SPOT REQUEST
INDIVIDUALLY. OUR SYSTEMS ARE DESIGNED TO GENERATE ONLY ONE
FORECAST PER REQUEST. THANKS.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 1300.
    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-29100 KNOT-FT) THROUGH 1000...THEN
    INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 THROUGH 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL THROUGH 0900...INCREASING TO 13200
    FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.


$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...LIGHTNER IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120703.LIGHT.02/GJT