FNUS75 KGJT 040407 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK CREEK...MONTROSE INTERAGENCY DISPATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1007 PM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1804 MDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED BOTH DAYS AND WITH MOISTURE INCREASING...THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS ALSO INCREASES. CONVECTION WILL ALLOW POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO FORM OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE FROM ANY STORMS THAT FORM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. LAL.................4. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F. MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. LAL.................4. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F. MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH BE MIDMORNING WITH GUSTS REACHING 25 MPH BY 1PM. BY 6PM...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 9 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. LAL.................4. $$ FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK REQUESTED BY...IC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.OAKCR.01/GJT