FNUS75 KGJT 040400 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR WEBER...RMA TEAM C NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1000 PM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1009 MDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED BOTH DAYS AND WITH MOISTURE INCREASING...THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS ALSO INCREASES. CONVECTION WILL ALLOW SHOWERS AND STORMS TO FORM OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES THOUGH INCREASED RAIN SHOULD LIMIT THE CHANCE FOR ANY FIRE STARTS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F. MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE MORNING. AFTERNOON WINDS OF 6 TO 10 MPH EXPECTED WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD BY 1PM. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F. MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. LAL.................4. MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-2400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER 1PM. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. LAL.................4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK REQUESTED BY...RUSS REIMERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.WEBER.01/GJT