FNUS71 KLWX 031058 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...RED TEAM - NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 658 AM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 EDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8000-9700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........15 10 18 32 51 58 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............69 75 81 85 88 88 RH..............78 74 60 53 47 47 20 FT WIND......W 1 W 2 W 3 W 4 W 4 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 30 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CWR.................30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........63 65 68 69 68 76 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............86 82 78 75 73 72 RH..............51 63 74 82 84 84 20 FT WIND......S 2 SE 2 S 3 SW 4 NW 5 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 10 CWR.............30 30 30 30 10 10 .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800-7700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 3500-5200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2900-3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 71 64 67 54 59 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 75 81 86 88 89 RH..............90 84 67 57 54 48 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 7 SW 5 SW 3 W 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 10 15 15 15 CWR.............10 40 40 40 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...MARK CLERE FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.NEIGH.01/LWX