FNUS71 KLWX 032008 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...RED TEAM - NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 408 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1557 EDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS ALONG WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS MAY CAUSE AREAS OF FOG TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN THE SHELTERED VALLEYS. SHOULD THERE BE RAINFALL THIS EVENING THEN RH VALUES WILL BE HIGHER RESULTING IN LOCALLY DENSE FOG. AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR T-STORMS WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. HIGH AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THAT T-STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ANY T-STORM CHANCE WILL BE MINIMAL DUE TO SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL HIGH. HOWEVER...IT WILL TURN OUT QUITE HOT. THE HEAT WILL HAVE A CUMULATIVE AFFECT ON ANYONE OUTDOORS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME. A BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...BRINGING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND T-STORMS. HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........52 60 WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR TEMP............89 88 RH..............40 43 20 FT WIND......W 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 CWR.............10 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........60 62 54 51 50 54 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............87 83 79 77 75 74 RH..............52 59 69 74 79 79 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 4 SW 4 W 5 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 CWR.............30 40 30 30 20 20 .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 11000-12400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 56 61 65 69 72 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 77 82 86 89 89 RH..............81 74 63 53 47 45 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 10 CWR.............20 40 40 40 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...LASORSA REQUESTED BY...MARK CLERE FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.NEIGH.02/LWX