FNUS75 KRIW 031652
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR OTTER CREEK...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1052 AM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1004 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW RETURNS TODAY...WITH A HAINES INDEX OF 6
ACROSS THE FIRE AREA AREA. A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS
EVENING WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND A WIND SHIFT EXPECTED.
AS A RESULT WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH HIGHER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS MONSOON
MOISTURE SURGES UP FROM THE SOUTH. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD ACTUALLY BE WET
DEPENDING UPON WHERE THE MORE ROBUST MOISTURE ENDS UP.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE IN
                    THE MORNING UNTIL 1115.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 TO 10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY 1200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    25 MPH BY 1200 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000-13000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (218100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY 2100...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    4-7 MPH AFTER 0300.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800-10800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3400-4400 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 24
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 12
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (193300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (48400 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0900. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    5-9 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (77800
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CREAGEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120703.OTTER.01/RIW