FNUS75 KSLC 040047 FWSSLC SPOT FORECAST FOR CLAY SPRINGS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT 647 PM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXTENDED UNTIL 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY... .DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH MOVED INTO NORTHERN UTAH THIS AFTERNOON WILL STALL NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE OVERNIGHT...MAINTAINING A VERY DRY AIRMASS WITH VERY POOR RH RECOVERY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY...ONCE AGAIN RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. MID LEVEL MOISTURE LOOKS TO SPREAD INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY. THIS MOISTURE MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW AFTERNOON BUILDUPS WITH VIRGA AND PERHAPS A COUPLE DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES...ALTHOUGH THE EXTENT OF THE CLOUD COVER MAY WORK TO STABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE AND LIMIT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS MOISTURE WILL ALSO ALLOW DAYTIME RH VALUES TO TREND SIGNIFICANTLY UPWARD. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK THOUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHTER DAYTIME WINDS GENERALLY DRIVEN BY SLOPE FLOWS...WITH LINGERING MOISTURE PROVIDING A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT... LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE. SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-64. MAX HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT. WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BECOMING DOWNVALLEY/DOWNSLOPE 4-9 MPH AFTER 2100. .WEDNESDAY... LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE. CLEARING INDEX......1000+. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 80. MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT. WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1100. .OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY... LAL.................2 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW. CLEARING INDEX......850. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74. MIN HUMIDITY........25-28 PERCENT. WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. FORECASTER...SEAMAN REQUESTED BY...SOCAL IMT 1 REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120703.CLAYS.02/SLC $$