FNUS73 KUNR 032333
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OIL CREEK...WA IMT #5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
533 PM MDT TUE JUL 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1704 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...GUSTY WINDS...AND A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FOR SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...

.DISCUSSION...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT IN THE OIL CREEK FIRE AREA. EXPECT LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CONTINUE...WITH
GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. A STRONG FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR LATER
TONIGHT...SWITCHING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AT 15 TO
30 MPH...AND PERSISTING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. FRONTAL PASSAGE
SHOULD BE AROUND 11 PM IN THE FIRE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT
                    25 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 TO 4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...MATT CASTLE FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120703.OILCR.01/UNR