FNUS74 KBMX 041909 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR FALL CITY - UPDATE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 209 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1403 CDT ON JULY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. OBVIOUSLY...THIS BRINGS ABOUT A LIGHTNING THREAT. THESE STORMS SHOULD LAST NO LONGER THAN AN HOUR FOR ANY GIVEN AREA...AND ONCE A STORM PASSES...THIS SHOULD MITIGATE ANY OTHER STORMS FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH FOR THE MOST PART...BUT ANYONE WHO EXPERIENCES ONE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD SEE A WIND GUST OF 30-40 MPH FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....46 DECREASING TO 3. TIME (CDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............96 98 RH..............43 36 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....6000 300 TRANSPORT WIND..310/7 180/2 DISPERSION......46 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 32 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............95 88 80 78 75 73 RH..............41 53 71 74 79 84 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 SW 1 E 0 NE 0 NE 0 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 <5 <5 <5 <5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 3400 300 BLW100 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..240/6 250/7 210/5 240/3 250/3 260/3 DISPERSION......21 29 1 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600-11700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 95 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 71 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 59 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 35 DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 11. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 79 88 92 94 94 RH..............86 76 59 47 43 43 20 FT WIND......NE 0 NE 1 N 2 N 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.<5 <5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 2500 8100 11000 11700 10600 TRANSPORT WIND..250/2 270/5 340/10 010/9 020/6 020/2 DISPERSION......1 2 5 92 59 23 $$ FORECASTER...UNGER REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120704.FALLC.02/BMX