FNUS75 KBYZ 041429
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK  WY...SHERIDAN COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
829 AM MDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0806 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OFF THE BIG
HORN MOUNTAINS AND DRIFT OVER THE FIRE SITE THROUGH AT LEAST LATE
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. EAST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE FIRE TODAY AND TONIGHT
AT AROUND 10 MPH. TOMORROW MORNING WINDS WILL START OFF
SOUTHEASTERLY THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEED THURSDAY AFTERNOON IS UNCERTAIN WITH SOME INDICATION OF GUSTS IN
THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE POSSIBLE...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THIS
CLOSELY SINCE IT IS A CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THINKING...BUT BUMPED
UP WIND SPEEDS FOR THIS FORECAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. CHAMBERS

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER 3 PM. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER 3 PM.

$$
FORECASTER...CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...BILL BIOSTOCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.ASHCR.02/BYZ