FNUS75 KGJT 042123
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
323 PM MDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1445 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE IS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LAST WELL INTO THIS EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT.
WETTING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS. CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN MORE WIDESPREAD THURSDAY. OTHER THAN OUTFLOW
WINDS DRIVEN BY STORMS...WINDS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN DRIVEN. THIS
MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800-8500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5-10
                    MPH BY LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...LIGHTNER IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.LIGHT.01/GJT