FNUS75 KGJT 050724
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
124 AM MDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0039 MDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE CONTINUES THROUGH
FRIDAY BRINGING INCREASED CLOUDS...DEW POINTS...AND PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW
MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER THE FIRE SITE.
HOWEVER...THE SCATTERED NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY DOES NOT ASSURE
THAT THE FIRE WILL RECEIVE RAINFALL...BUT CHANCES ARE MORE
FAVORABLE THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0800...
    BECOMING UPSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND
    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6100-28100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...LIGHTNER IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.LIGHT.02/GJT