FNUS73 KLSX 041545
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOW GAP...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1045 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1003 CDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

TEN HOUR DRY FUEL VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 8 PERCENT AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RAINFALL OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS MAY HAVE HIGHER FUEL MOISTURE...BUT FUELS WILL QUICKLY
DRY OUT DURING THE DAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR ABOVE 100
DEGREES WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING TO 20 TO 25
PERCENT BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN NORTHERN REYNOLDS
COUNTY AT THE FIRE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW 15 MPH BOTH AFTERNOONS.

THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND. FUELS
WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOW AS LONG AS
THE DROUGHT PERSISTS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH INTO
THE WEEKEND.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........92 AT REQUEST...MAX 103.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 1-2 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT
                    FACTOR OF 0.2 FOR FULLY SHELTERED FUELS.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT REQUEST BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AT IGNITION...9100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (12852 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 70.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 0.2 FOR FULLY SHELTERED FUELS.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT FROM MID EVENING THROUGH
                    THE OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 103.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT WIND.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 3 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4477 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...KANOFSKY
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.LOWGA.01/LSX